HSM wants Somalia to become Presidential System

With Majeertenia in the mix will it even be possible?
I could imagine that their donors has okay this.

They no longer hold any cards. Both economic, military or political. They are drifting away into oblivion.

HSM has the cash and the political power base to push this.

How fare are they willing to go to disrupt this, do you think?
He is using Somaliland as an excuse now :joy:

They always wanted to play both sides, the benefits of Mogadishu and the independence of Somaliland. But it seems that strategy has backfired on them.

Their new strategy won’t fly. No one is buying it.

So you really think within 4 years the 4.5 system will be history and a presidential system will be in place?

If Hawiye want to remain President, they need to get rid of the 4.5 system. Farmaajo was a tough pill to swallow for the Hawiye. Specially Farmaajo colluding with Ethiopia and Eritrea, that was an eye opener and I don’t think there is any Hawiye that is willing to take chances again.

One this one I don’t even think it’s Hawiye calling the shots they just happen to be the flavour of the month or at the right place at the right time. The West prefer the less moving parts the better.

Couldn’t help but laugh at this.

Mapping Somalia’s Political Zones: South-Central, Puntland, and Somaliland.

The Daily Somalia

The Daily Somalia


Somali leaders, led by President Hassan Sheikh, along with the State Presidents of Galmudug, Hirshabelle, Southwest, and Jubbaland, the Governor of Banadir and Somalia’s Prime Minister who hails from President Hassan’s UPD party and the Deputy Prime Minister have forged an agreement that aligns their shared vision. The goal? A strategic departure from the prevailing parliamentary, presidential system that has dominated the nation for three decades. But it doesn’t stop there. These leaders have also embraced a distinctive electoral model, employed by only a handful of nations, including Israeli, advocating for a single electoral region instead of district-level representation. Moreover, they have boldly proposed a two-party system, often associated with authoritarian regimes.

At the heart of Somalia’s state-building efforts lies a trilateral discourse, where three key zones—Somaliland, Puntland, and the South-Central region—take center stage. Puntland, in particular, is now advocating for a trilateral dialogue aimed at brokering a resolution for Somalia.

President Saeed Deni of Puntland emerged as a staunch opponent of the agreements reached by the National Consultation Council (NCC). Deni argues that Puntland’s exclusion from these agreements undermines their legitimacy, highlighting his conspicuous absence from crucial meetings and refusal to endorse the agreements during the December power-sharing and judicial system conference. Deni passionately criticizes President Hassan Sheikh’s leadership, alleging blatant violations of both the Federal and Puntland State constitution.

Deni asserts that if consequential decisions are to be made, the involvement of Somaliland is paramount. He insists that rectifying Somalia’s instability necessitates the active participation of Somaliland in forging a collective solution.

The political opposition in Puntland, which had opposed Saeed Deni thus far, has suddenly changed instance. With only six months remaining in Deni’s term, they now deem the NCC agreement incomplete and illegal. This unexpected pivot by the government and opposition indicates a genuine desire to address Puntland independently from other Federal State Members, considering its distinction as the first administration established after the collapse of the central government a quarter century ago, still retaining all government institutions and sources of revenue from the pre-federalization era.

Astute political analysts caution that this development threatens to accelerate the nation’s descent into a multifaceted dilemma. They insist that for Somalia to avert such a dangerous scenario, the government must embark upon the state-building process with an unwavering consensus among all stakeholders.

Mohamed Salh, Multimedia Journalist, based in Garowe.

MOGADISHU (HOL) - Somalia’s Parliament, encompassing both chambers, unanimously passed a resolution on Wednesday in Mogadishu, establishing procedural rules for amending the nation’s constitution. Speaker of the People’s Assembly, Sheikh Adan Madobe, reported that 180 lawmakers voted in favour against 30 dissenting MPs, marking a significant stride in finalizing Somalia’s long-awaited constitution.

The approval came amid concerns voiced by former presidents Mohamed Abdullahi Farmaajo and Sheikh Sharif Sheikh Ahmed, along with parliament members, regarding potential political rifts. These apprehensions stem from possible constitutional alterations without broad consensus, especially following Ethiopia’s emphasis on Somalia’s territorial integrity, post the Memorandum of Understanding with Somaliland.

Today’s parliamentary session witnessed tumultuous moments, as reported by Abdirizak Mohamed, the Minister of Petroleum & Mineral Resources. Mohamed stated, “The parliament is a sacred place & a space for members of parliament to debate & express their views freely. Regrettably, that cardinal rule was violated today when an MP smuggled in a handgun to instigate violence. I urge the speaker of the HoP to enforce house rules to the fullest.”

Another lawmaker, Senator Marian Farah Kahiye, noted the presence of non-MP individuals in suits and glasses in the parliamentary sessions as unusual.

Despite adopting the Somali Provisional Constitution in 2012, a range of challenges has delayed the envisaged four-year comprehensive constitutional review. Former Lower House speaker Mohammad Osman Jawari commended the current administration for reaching preliminary agreements on vital issues but cautioned that unresolved matters persist, which requires widespread agreement for any constitutional amendments.

In May last year, the National Consultative Council, including federal and regional leaders, agreed to introduce direct elections and unify election schedules this year. They also supported a presidential system for Somalia.

Local council elections are set to take place on June 30, followed by regional parliamentary and regional leadership elections on November 30. The leaders had agreed that only two political parties would compete for power in the country. It’s worth noting that the current political parties law does not limit the number of political parties.

Despite opposition to the constitutional amendments from former high-ranking officials and Puntland leaders, President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud’s government remains committed to these changes. President Mohamud is expected to engage in political dialogues during the inauguration of Puntland leaders in Garowe on Thursday.